Probability: Chapter 13 Links
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Probability 13.2 NCERT Solutions focuses on two important concepts — the Multiplication Theorem of Probability and Independent Events. The multiplication theorem helps us find the probability of the simultaneous occurrence of two or more events, while independent events are those where the occurrence of one event does not affect the probability of the other.
\displaystyle P(E\cap F)=P(E)\,P(F\mid E)=P(F)\,P(E\mid F)
For independent events, the multiplication theorem takes the simpler form
\displaystyle P(E\cap F)=P(E)\,P(F)
The questions in this exercise cover a variety of applications of these concepts involving cards, balls, coins, dice, newspapers and other real-life situations. Some questions require us to check whether given events are independent, while others involve complements, unions, intersections and repeated trials.
As you move through the exercise, you will see how the multiplication theorem connects with conditional probability and how independence can make probability calculations much simpler. The exercise also includes application-based questions and MCQs, making it a useful practice set for strengthening your understanding of Multiplication Theorem and Independent Events.
By solving these questions step by step, you will strengthen your understanding of an important part of Probability and build confidence for the CBSE Class 12 Board Exams, CUET, and other competitive examinations.
Key Concepts
Before solving Exercise 13.2, quickly revise the important concepts and formulas related to the Multiplication Theorem of Probability and Independent Events. Most questions in this exercise require you to identify the events carefully and then decide whether to use conditional probability, the multiplication theorem or the independence condition.
1. Multiplication Theorem of Probability
If E and F are two events associated with the same sample space, then the probability of their simultaneous occurrence is given by the multiplication theorem.
Using conditional probability,
\displaystyle P(E\cap F)=P(F)\,P(E\mid F)
Similarly,
\displaystyle P(E\cap F)=P(E)\,P(F\mid E)
Therefore,
\displaystyle P(E\cap F)=P(E)\,P(F\mid E)=P(F)\,P(E\mid F)
This is particularly useful in experiments where events occur one after another, such as drawing cards or balls without replacement.
2. Multiplication Theorem for More Than Two Events
For three events E, F and G, the multiplication theorem can be extended as
\displaystyle P(E\cap F\cap G)=P(E)\,P(F\mid E)\,P(G\mid E\cap F)
Similarly, the theorem can be extended to four or more events.
When events occur successively without replacement, the conditional probabilities usually change after each occurrence because the number of available outcomes changes.
3. Independent Events
Two events E and F are called independent if the occurrence of one event does not affect the probability of occurrence of the other.
In terms of conditional probability, independent events satisfy
\displaystyle P(E\mid F)=P(E),\qquad P(F)\neq0
and
\displaystyle P(F\mid E)=P(F),\qquad P(E)\neq0
In other words, knowing that one event has occurred does not change the probability of the other event.
4. Independence Using the Multiplication Rule
For any two events, the multiplication theorem gives
\displaystyle P(E\cap F)=P(E)\,P(F\mid E)
If E and F are independent, then \displaystyle P(F\mid E)=P(F). Hence,
\displaystyle P(E\cap F)=P(E)\,P(F)
Therefore, two events are independent if
\displaystyle P(E\cap F)=P(E)\,P(F)
This is the most commonly used test for checking whether two events are independent.
5. Complementary Events and Independence
If E and F are independent events, then their complementary events are also independent. Thus, if E and F are independent, then each of the following pairs is independent:
- E and F’
- E’ and F
- E’ and F’
For example,
\displaystyle P(E'\cap F')=P(E')\,P(F')
Also, remember that
\displaystyle P(E')=1-P(E),\qquad P(F')=1-P(F)
6. At Least One of Two Independent Events
If A and B are independent events, the probability that at least one of them occurs is
\displaystyle P(A\cup B)=1-P(A'\cap B')
Since A and B are independent, their complements are also independent. Therefore,
\displaystyle P(A\cup B)=1-P(A')P(B')
or
\displaystyle P(A\cup B)=1-[1-P(A)][1-P(B)]
This is especially useful in questions involving “at least one”, “neither” or “none”.
7. Independent and Mutually Exclusive Events
Do not confuse independent events with mutually exclusive events.
- Mutually exclusive events cannot occur together, so \displaystyle E\cap F=\varnothing.
- Independent events are events where the occurrence of one does not affect the probability of the other.
- Two mutually exclusive events having non-zero probabilities cannot be independent.
- Independent events may have common outcomes.
8. Independence of Three Events
Three events A, B and C are said to be mutually independent if
- <mark class="annotation-text annotation-text-yoast" id="annotation-text-1f52d6e4-c88f-41bf-b4ab-4166c7a3310c">\displaystyle P(A\cap B)=P(A)P(B)
2. \displaystyle P(A\cap C)=P(A)P(C)
3. \displaystyle P(B\cap C)=P(B)P(C)
and
4. \displaystyle P(A\cap B\cap C)=P(A)P(B)P(C)
All these conditions must hold for the three events to be mutually independent.
9. Important Points
- Use the multiplication theorem when the question involves the simultaneous occurrence of events.
- For events occurring one after another, carefully identify the conditional probability at each stage.
- In experiments without replacement, probabilities usually change after each draw.
- For independent events, the occurrence of one event does not change the probability of the other.
- To check whether two events are independent, compare \displaystyle P(E\cap F) with \displaystyle P(E)P(F).
- Do not assume that two events are independent simply because they come from separate-looking parts of a question. Always verify using the appropriate condition.
- Do not confuse independent events with mutually exclusive events.
- For “at least one” questions involving independent events, the complement method is often the quickest approach.
Quick Reference Table
| Concept | Formula / Result |
|---|---|
| Multiplication Rule | \displaystyle P(E\cap F)=P(E)P(F\mid E)=P(F)P(E\mid F) |
| Three Events | \displaystyle P(E\cap F\cap G)=P(E)P(F\mid E)P(G\mid E\cap F) |
| Independent Events | \displaystyle P(E\mid F)=P(E),\; P(F\mid E)=P(F) |
| Independence Condition | \displaystyle P(E\cap F)=P(E)P(F) |
| Complement of an Event | \displaystyle P(E')=1-P(E) |
| Independent Complements | \displaystyle P(E'\cap F')=P(E')P(F') |
| At Least One | \displaystyle P(A\cup B)=1-P(A'\cap B') |
| At Least One — Independent Events | \displaystyle P(A\cup B)=1-P(A')P(B') |
| Mutually Exclusive Events | \displaystyle A\cap B=\varnothing,\; P(A\cap B)=0 |
| Independent and Mutually Exclusive | Two mutually exclusive events having non-zero probabilities cannot be independent. |
| Three Mutually Independent Events | \displaystyle P(A\cap B)=P(A)P(B),\; P(A\cap C)=P(A)P(C),\; P(B\cap C)=P(B)P(C) \displaystyle P(A\cap B\cap C)=P(A)P(B)P(C) |
Before You Begin… Before solving a question, first identify the events involved and check whether they are independent. If the occurrence of one event affects the probability of the other, use the multiplication theorem with conditional probability. If the events are independent, use \displaystyle P(E\cap F)=P(E)P(F) to simplify the calculation.
Let us now solve all the NCERT questions of Probability 13.2 step by step.
Question 1: Independent Events
1. If \displaystyle P(A)=\frac{3}{5} and \displaystyle P(B)=\frac{1}{5}, find \displaystyle P(A\cap B) if A and B are independent events.
Solution:
Think First… Since A and B are independent events, we can directly use the independence condition \displaystyle P(A\cap B)=P(A)P(B).
We are given
\displaystyle P(A)=\frac{3}{5},\quad P(B)=\frac{1}{5}
Since A and B are independent events,
\displaystyle \therefore P(A\cap B)=P(A)P(B)
Substituting the given values, we get
\displaystyle P(A\cap B)=\frac{3}{5}\times\frac{1}{5}=\frac{3}{25}
Hence,
\displaystyle \boxed{P(A\cap B)=\frac{3}{25}}
Question 2: Probability 13.2
2. Two cards are drawn at random and without replacement from a pack of 52 playing cards. Find the probability that both the cards are black.
Solution:
Think First… Since the cards are drawn without replacement, the probability for the second card depends on what happened in the first draw. So, we use the multiplication theorem with conditional probability.
Let E and F denote the events that the first and second cards drawn are black, respectively.
There are 26 black cards in a pack of 52 cards. Therefore,
\displaystyle P(E)=\frac{26}{52}=\frac{1}{2}
If the first card is black, one black card has been removed. Thus, 25 black cards remain out of 51 cards.
Therefore, probability of F given that E has aleady occured, is given by
\displaystyle P(F\mid E)=\frac{25}{51}
By the multiplication theorem of probability,
\displaystyle P(E\cap F)=P(E)P(F\mid E)
Substituting the values,
\displaystyle P(E\cap F)=\frac{1}{2}\times\frac{25}{51}=\frac{25}{102}
Therefore, the required probability is
\displaystyle \boxed{\frac{25}{102}}
You may already be following Maths Better for the NCERT Solutions of the previous Class 12 Maths chapters, namely:
- Matrices
- Determinants
- Relations and Functions
- Inverse Trigonometric Functions
- Continuity and Differentiability
- Application of Derivatives
- Integrals
- Application of Integrals
- Differential Equations
- Vector Algebra
- Three Dimensional Geometry
- Linear Programming
Likewise, this exercise of Probability 13.2 builds on the concept of Conditional Probability and introduces the important idea of Independent Events. Through these questions, you will learn how to identify independent events, apply the Multiplication Theorem of Probability, and solve different types of problems involving coins, dice, cards, repeated trials and other situations. These questions provide valuable practice for the CBSE Board Examination and CUET, while strengthening the concepts needed for the remaining parts of the Probability chapter. Now, let’s continue with the next question of Probability 13.2.
Question 3: Probability Exercise 13.2
3. A box of oranges is inspected by examining three randomly selected oranges drawn without replacement. If all the three oranges are good, the box is approved for sale, otherwise, it is rejected. Find the probability that a box containing 15 oranges out of which 12 are good and 3 are bad ones will be approved for sale.
Solution:
Think First… The box is approved only when all three oranges are good. Since the oranges are drawn without replacement, the probabilities change after each draw. Hence, we use the multiplication theorem.
Let E, F and G denote the events that the first, second and third oranges drawn are good, respectively.
There are 12 good oranges out of 15 oranges. Therefore,
\displaystyle P(E)=\frac{12}{15}
If the first orange is good, 11 good oranges remain out of 14 oranges. Thus, probability of F when E has aleady occured, is given by
\displaystyle P(F\mid E)=\frac{11}{14}
If the first two oranges are good, 10 good oranges remain out of 13 oranges. Therefore, probability of G when E and F have aleady occured, is given by
\displaystyle P(G\mid EF)=P(G\mid E\cap F)=\frac{10}{13}
By the multiplication theorem for three events,
\displaystyle P(E\cap F\cap G)=P(E)P(F\mid E)P(G\mid E\cap F)
Substituting the values, we get
\displaystyle P(E\cap F\cap G)=\frac{12}{15}\times\frac{11}{14}\times\frac{10}{13}=\frac{44}{91}
Therefore, the probability that the box will be approved for sale is
\displaystyle \boxed{\frac{44}{91}}
Question 4: Probability 13.2
4. A fair coin and an unbiased die are tossed. Let A be the event ‘head appears on the coin’ and B be the event ‘3 on the die’. Check whether A and B are independent events or not.
Solution:
Think First… To check whether two events are independent, compare \displaystyle P(A\cap B) with \displaystyle P(A)P(B). If they are equal, the events are independent.
Since the coin has two possible outcomes and the die has six possible outcomes, the sample space is
\displaystyle S=\{(H,1),(H,2),(H,3),(H,4),(H,5),(H,6),\\(T,1),(T,2),(T,3),(T,4),(T,5),(T,6)\}
Thus, there are 12 equally likely outcomes.
Event A represents getting a head on the coin. Therefore,
\displaystyle A=\{(H,1),(H,2),(H,3),(H,4),(H,5),(H,6)\}
Hence,
\displaystyle P(A)=\frac{6}{12}=\frac{1}{2}
Event B represents getting 3 on the die. Therefore,
\displaystyle B=\{(H,3),(T,3)\}
Hence,
\displaystyle P(B)=\frac{2}{12}=\frac{1}{6}
Now, \displaystyle A\cap B represents the outcomes in which the coin shows a head and the die shows 3. The only such outcome is \displaystyle(H,3).
Therefore,
\displaystyle A\cap B=\{(H,3)\}
Thus,
\displaystyle P(A\cap B)=\frac{1}{12}
Also,
\displaystyle P(A)P(B)=\frac{1}{2}\times\frac{1}{6}=\frac{1}{12}
Therefore,
\displaystyle P(A\cap B)=P(A)P(B)
Therefore, A and B are independent events.
Maths Better Tip… For independent events, the occurrence of one event does not affect the probability of the other. When two events E and F are independent, use \displaystyle P(E\cap F)=P(E)P(F). Always check whether the events are actually independent before using this formula.
Question 5: Probability 13.2
5. A die marked 1, 2, 3 in red and 4, 5, 6 in green is tossed. Let A be the event, ‘the number is even,’ and B be the event, ‘the number is red.’ Are A and B independent?
Solution:
Think First… To check whether A and B are independent, compare \displaystyle P(A\cap B) with \displaystyle P(A)P(B). If they are equal, A and B are independent.
The sample space is
\displaystyle S=\{1,2,3,4,5,6\}
Event A represents an even number. Therefore,
\displaystyle A=\{2,4,6\}
Hence, \displaystyle P(A)=\frac{3}{6}=\frac{1}{2}
Event B represents a red number. Therefore,
\displaystyle B=\{1,2,3\}
Hence, \displaystyle P(B)=\frac{3}{6}=\frac{1}{2}
Now, \displaystyle A\cap B=\{2\}
Therefore, \displaystyle P(A\cap B)=\frac{1}{6}
Also, \displaystyle P(A)P(B)=\frac{1}{2}\times\frac{1}{2}=\frac{1}{4}
Clearly, \displaystyle P(A\cap B)\neq P(A)P(B)
Therefore, A and B are not independent events.
Question 6: Exercise 13.2
6. Let E and F be events with \displaystyle P(E)=\frac{3}{5},\; P(F)=\frac{3}{10} and \displaystyle P(E\cap F)=\frac{1}{5}. Are E and F independent?
Solution:
Think First… To check whether two events are independent, compare \displaystyle P(E\cap F) with \displaystyle P(E)P(F). If they are equal, E and F are independent.
We are given
\displaystyle P(E)=\frac{3}{5},\; P(F)=\frac{3}{10},\; P(E\cap F)=\frac{1}{5}
For independent events, we must have
\displaystyle P(E\cap F)=P(E)P(F)
Now, \displaystyle P(E)P(F)=\frac{3}{5}\times\frac{3}{10}=\frac{9}{50}
But, \displaystyle P(E\cap F)=\frac{1}{5}=\frac{10}{50}
Therefore, \displaystyle P(E\cap F)\neq P(E)P(F)
Hence, E and F are not independent.
Question 7: Probability 13.2
7. Given that the events A and B are such that \displaystyle P(A)=\frac{1}{2},\; P(A\cup B)=\frac{3}{5} and \displaystyle P(B)=p. Find p if they are (i) mutually exclusive (ii) independent.
Solution:
Think First… We are given the probability of the union. For part (i), use the condition for mutually exclusive events. For part (ii), use the multiplication rule for independent events.
We are given
\displaystyle P(A)=\frac{1}{2},\; P(A\cup B)=\frac{3}{5},\; P(B)=p
(i) When A and B are mutually exclusive
For mutually exclusive events,
\displaystyle A\cap B=\varnothing
Therefore,
\displaystyle P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)
Substituting the given values,
\displaystyle \frac{3}{5}=\frac{1}{2}+p
\displaystyle \Rightarrow p=\frac{3}{5}-\frac{1}{2}=\frac{1}{10}
Therefore,
\displaystyle \boxed{p=\frac{1}{10}}
(ii) When A and B are independent
For any two events,
\displaystyle P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cap B)
Since A and B are independent,
\displaystyle P(A\cap B)=P(A)P(B)
Therefore,
\displaystyle P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A)P(B)
Substituting the given values,
We get, \displaystyle \frac{3}{5}=\frac{1}{2}+p-\frac{1}{2}p
or \displaystyle \frac{3}{5}=\frac{1}{2}+\frac{p}{2}
or \displaystyle \frac{p}{2}=\frac{3}{5}-\frac{1}{2}=\frac{1}{10}
Therefore,
\displaystyle \boxed{p=\frac{1}{5}}
Maths Better Tip… Do not confuse mutually exclusive events with independent events. Mutually exclusive events cannot occur together, so \displaystyle P(A\cap B)=0. Independent events do not affect each other’s probability, so \displaystyle P(A\cap B)=P(A)P(B). In general, two mutually exclusive events are not independent.
Question 8: Probability 13.2
8. Let A and B be independent events with \displaystyle P(A)=0.3 and \displaystyle P(B)=0.4. Find (i) \displaystyle P(A\cap B) (ii) \displaystyle P(A\cup B) (iii) \displaystyle P(A\mid B) (iv) \displaystyle P(B\mid A)
Solution:
Think First… Since A and B are independent, first use \displaystyle P(A\cap B)=P(A)P(B). Then use the addition theorem for the union. For conditional probabilities, independence gives \displaystyle P(A\mid B)=P(A) and \displaystyle P(B\mid A)=P(B).
We are given
\displaystyle P(A)=0.3,\quad P(B)=0.4
(i) Finding \displaystyle P(A\cap B)
Since A and B are independent,
Using, \displaystyle P(A\cap B)=P(A)P(B)
We get,
\displaystyle P(A\cap B)=0.3\times0.4=0.12
Hence,
\displaystyle \boxed{P(A\cap B)=0.12}
(ii) Finding \displaystyle P(A\cup B)
Using the addition theorem,
\displaystyle P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cap B)
Substituting the values,
\displaystyle P(A\cup B)=0.3+0.4-0.12=0.58
Hence,
\displaystyle \boxed{P(A\cup B)=0.58}
(iii) Finding \displaystyle P(A\mid B)
For independent events, the occurrence of B does not affect the probability of A. Therefore,
\displaystyle P(A\mid B)=P(A)=0.3
Hence,
\displaystyle \boxed{P(A\mid B)=0.3}
We can also verify this using the formula for conditional probability.
\displaystyle P(A\mid B)=\frac{P(A\cap B)}{P(B)}=\frac{0.12}{0.4}=0.3
Thus, the result is consistent with the fact that A and B are independent events.
(iv) Finding \displaystyle P(B\mid A)
Similarly, the occurrence of A does not affect the probability of B. Therefore,
\displaystyle P(B\mid A)=P(B)=0.4
Hence,
\displaystyle \boxed{P(B\mid A)=0.4}
Just like (iii) above, we can verify this also using the formula for conditional probability.
\displaystyle P(B\mid A)=\frac{P(A\cap B)}{P(A)}=\frac{0.12}{0.3}=0.4
Thus, the result is consistent with the fact that A and B are independent events.
Question 9: Probability 13.2
9. If A and B are two events such that \displaystyle P(A)=\frac{1}{4},\; P(B)=\frac{1}{2} and \displaystyle P(A\cap B)=\frac{1}{8}, find the probability that neither A nor B occurs.
Solution:
Think First… “Neither A nor B” means that \displaystyle A' and \displaystyle B' both occur. This is the complement of \displaystyle A\cup B. So, first find \displaystyle P(A\cup B) using the addition theorem.
We are given
\displaystyle P(A)=\frac{1}{4},\; P(B)=\frac{1}{2},\; P(A\cap B)=\frac{1}{8}
Using the addition theorem of probability,
\displaystyle P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cap B)
Substituting the given values, we get
\displaystyle P(A\cup B)=\frac{1}{4}+\frac{1}{2}-\frac{1}{8}
\displaystyle =\frac{2}{8}+\frac{4}{8}-\frac{1}{8}=\frac{5}{8}
The event “neither A nor B” is the complement of \displaystyle A\cup B. Therefore,
\displaystyle P(\text{neither A nor B})=1-P(\text{either A or B})=1-P(A\cup B)
\displaystyle =1-\frac{5}{8}=\frac{3}{8}
Hence,
\displaystyle \boxed{P(\text{neither A nor B})=\frac{3}{8}}
Question 10: Probability 13.2
10. Events A and B are such that \displaystyle P(A)=\frac{1}{2},\; P(B)=\frac{7}{12} and \displaystyle P(\text{not A or not B})=\frac{1}{4}. State whether A and B are independent.
Solution:
Think First… “Not A or not B” means \displaystyle A'\cup B'. By De Morgan’s law, its complement is \displaystyle A\cap B. So, first find \displaystyle P(A\cap B) and then compare it with \displaystyle P(A)P(B).
We are given
\displaystyle P(A)=\frac{1}{2},\; P(B)=\frac{7}{12},\; P(A'\cup B')=\frac{1}{4}
By De-Morgan’s Law, we know
\displaystyle (A'\cup B')'=A\cap B
Therefore, using the complement rule,
\displaystyle P((A'\cup B')')=1-P(A'\cup B')
Hence,
\displaystyle P(A\cap B)=1-P(A'\cup B')
Therefore,
\displaystyle P(A\cap B)=1-\frac{1}{4}=\frac{3}{4}
Now, if A and B were independent, then
\displaystyle P(A\cap B)=P(A)P(B)
But
\displaystyle P(A)P(B)=\frac{1}{2}\times\frac{7}{12}=\frac{7}{24}
Clearly,
\displaystyle P(A\cap B)=\frac{3}{4}\neq\frac{7}{24}=P(A)P(B)
Therefore, A and B are not independent.
By now, you have already completed the NCERT Solutions for Matrices, Determinants, Relations and Functions, Inverse Trigonometric Functions, Continuity and Differentiability, Application of Derivatives, Integrals, Application of Integrals, Differential Equations, Vector Algebra, Three Dimensional Geometry and Linear Programming. Now, we are working through Probability, with every exercise explained through detailed, step-by-step solutions to help you build strong concepts and prepare confidently for your CBSE Board Examinations.
Many of these questions are also available in video format on my YouTube Channel, @MathsBetter, where each solution is explained in a simple and student-friendly manner. Now, let’s proceed to the next question of Probability 13.2.
Question 11: Probability 13.2
11. Given two independent events A and B such that \displaystyle P(A)=0.3,\; P(B)=0.6. Find (i) \displaystyle P(A\text{ and }B) (ii) \displaystyle P(A\text{ and not }B) (iii) \displaystyle P(A\text{ or }B) (iv) \displaystyle P(\text{neither }A\text{ nor }B)
Solution:
Think First… Since A and B are independent, use the multiplication rule \displaystyle P(A\cap B)=P(A)P(B). For events involving complements, remember that \displaystyle P(B')=1-P(B). The same independence rule can then be applied to the complementary events.
We are given
\displaystyle P(A)=0.3,\qquad P(B)=0.6
(i) Finding \displaystyle P(A\text{ and }B)\text{ or }P(A\cap B)
Since A and B are independent,
\displaystyle P(A\cap B)=P(A)P(B)
Therefore,
\displaystyle P(A\cap B)=0.3\times0.6=0.18
Hence,
\displaystyle \boxed{P(A\text{ and }B)=0.18}
(ii) Finding \displaystyle P(A\text{ and not }B)\text{ or }P(A\cap B')
First,
\displaystyle P(B')=1-P(B)=1-0.6=0.4
Since A and B are independent, A and B’ are also independent. Therefore,
\displaystyle P(A\cap B')=P(A)P(B')
Thus,
\displaystyle P(A\cap B')=0.3\times0.4=0.12
Hence,
\displaystyle \boxed{P(A\text{ and not }B)=0.12}
(iii) Finding \displaystyle P(A\text{ or }B)\text{ or }P(A\cup B)
Using the addition theorem,
\displaystyle P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cap B)
Substituting the values,
\displaystyle P(A\cup B)=0.3+0.6-0.18=0.72
Hence,
\displaystyle \boxed{P(A\text{ or }B)=0.72}
(iv) Finding \displaystyle P(\text{neither }A\text{ nor }B)\text{ or }P(A'\cap B')
“Neither A nor B” means that both A and B do not occur. Therefore,
\displaystyle P(\text{neither }A\text{ nor }B)=P(A'\cap B')
Since A and B are independent, A’ and B’ are also independent. Hence,
\displaystyle P(A'\cap B')=P(A')P(B')
Now,
\displaystyle P(A')=1-0.3=0.7,\quad P(B')=1-0.6=0.4
Therefore,
\displaystyle P(A'\cap B')=0.7\times0.4=0.28
Hence,
\displaystyle \boxed{P(\text{neither }A\text{ nor }B)=0.28}
Question 12: Probability
12. A die is tossed thrice. Find the probability of getting an odd number at least once.
Solution:
Think First… “At least once” is usually easier to find using the complement. The complement of getting an odd number at least once is getting an even number on all three tosses.
Let E be the event that an odd number is obtained at least once.
Then, the complement event \displaystyle E' is the event that an even number is obtained on all three tosses.
For one toss of a die,
\displaystyle P(\text{even number})=\frac{3}{6}=\frac{1}{2}
Since the three tosses are independent,
\displaystyle P(E')=\frac{1}{2}\times\frac{1}{2}\times\frac{1}{2}=\frac{1}{8}
Therefore,
\displaystyle P(E)=1-P(E')
\displaystyle =1-\frac{1}{8}=\frac{7}{8}
Therefore, the required probability is
\displaystyle \boxed{\frac{7}{8}}
Question 13: Probability Exercise 13.2
13. Two balls are drawn at random with replacement from a box containing 10 black and 8 red balls. Find the probability that (i) \displaystyle \text{both balls are red} (ii) \displaystyle \text{the first ball is black and the second is red} (iii) \displaystyle \text{one of them is black and the other is red}
Solution:
Think First… Since the first ball is replaced before the second draw, the composition of the box remains unchanged. Therefore, the two draws are independent.
The box contains 10 black and 8 red balls, so there are 18 balls in total.
Therefore,
\displaystyle P(\text{black})=\frac{10}{18}=\frac{5}{9}
and
\displaystyle P(\text{red})=\frac{8}{18}=\frac{4}{9}
(i) Both balls are red
Since the draws are independent, because the balls are replaced (with replacement case)
\displaystyle P(\text{both red})=P(\text{red})P(\text{red})
Therefore,
\displaystyle P(\text{both red})=\frac{4}{9}\times\frac{4}{9}=\frac{16}{81}
Hence, the required probability is
\displaystyle \boxed{\frac{16}{81}}
(ii) First ball is black and second is red
Using the multiplication rule for independent events,
\displaystyle P(\text{first black and second red})=P(\text{black})P(\text{red})
Therefore,
\displaystyle =\frac{5}{9}\times\frac{4}{9}=\frac{20}{81}
Hence, the required probability is
\displaystyle \boxed{\frac{20}{81}}
(iii) One ball is black and the other is red
This can happen in two mutually exclusive ways:
\displaystyle \text{(a) First black and second red}
or
\displaystyle \text{(b) First red and second black}
Therefore, \displaystyle P(\text{one black and one red})
\displaystyle =P(BR)+P(RB)
\displaystyle =\frac{5}{9}\times\frac{4}{9}+\frac{4}{9}\times\frac{5}{9}
i.e. \displaystyle P(BR\cup RB)=\frac{20}{81}+\frac{20}{81}=\frac{40}{81}
Hence, the required probability is
\displaystyle \boxed{\frac{40}{81}}
Question 14: Probability
14. Probability of solving a specific problem independently by A and B are \displaystyle \frac{1}{2} and \displaystyle \frac{1}{3} respectively. If both try to solve the problem independently, find the probability that (i) \displaystyle \text{the problem is solved} (ii) \displaystyle \text{exactly one of them solves the problem}
Solution:
Think First… Since A and B try independently, the events of their solving the problem are independent. For “at least one”, it is easier to find the complement: neither solves the problem.
Let A denote the event that A solves the problem and B denote the event that B solves the problem.
We are given
\displaystyle P(A)=\frac{1}{2},\quad P(B)=\frac{1}{3}
Therefore, the probabilities that they do not solve the problem are
\displaystyle P(A')=1-\frac{1}{2}=\frac{1}{2}
and
\displaystyle P(B')=1-\frac{1}{3}=\frac{2}{3}
(i) Probability that the problem is solved
The problem is solved if at least one of A and B solves it.
Therefore,
\displaystyle P(\text{problem is solved})=P(A\cup B)
It is easier to use the complement:
\displaystyle P(A\cup B)=1-P(A'\cap B')
Since A and B are independent, A’ and B’ are also independent. Hence,
\displaystyle P(A'\cap B')=P(A')P(B')
Therefore,
\displaystyle P(A\cup B)=1-\frac{1}{2}\times\frac{2}{3}
\displaystyle =1-\frac{1}{3}=\frac{2}{3}
Therefore,
\displaystyle \boxed{P(\text{problem is solved})=\frac{2}{3}}
(ii) Probability that exactly one of them solves the problem
Exactly one of them solves the problem in two mutually exclusive ways:
\displaystyle \text{(a) A solves and B does not solve}
or
\displaystyle \text{(b) A does not solve and B solves}
Therefore,
\displaystyle P(\text{exactly one solves})=P(A\cap B')+P(A'\cap B)
Since the events are independent,
\displaystyle =P(A)P(B')+P(A')P(B)
Substituting the values,
\displaystyle =\frac{1}{2}\times\frac{2}{3}+\frac{1}{2}\times\frac{1}{3}
\displaystyle =\frac{1}{3}+\frac{1}{6}=\frac{1}{2}
Therefore,
\displaystyle \boxed{P(\text{exactly one solves})=\frac{1}{2}}
Question 15: Probability 13.2
15. One card is drawn at random from a well shuffled deck of 52 cards. In which of the following cases are the events E and F independent?
(i) E: ‘the card drawn is a spade’
F: ‘the card drawn is an ace’
(ii) E: ‘the card drawn is black’
F: ‘the card drawn is a king’
(iii) E: ‘the card drawn is a king or queen’
F: ‘the card drawn is a queen or jack’
Solution:
Think First… To check whether E and F are independent, compare \displaystyle P(E\cap F) with \displaystyle P(E)P(F). If they are equal, the events are independent.
(i) E: card is a spade, F: card is an ace
There are 13 spades and 4 aces in a deck of 52 cards. Therefore,
\displaystyle P(E)=\frac{13}{52}=\frac{1}{4},\quad P(F)=\frac{4}{52}=\frac{1}{13}
The only card which is both a spade and an ace is the ace of spades. Hence,
\displaystyle P(E\cap F)=\frac{1}{52}
Also,
\displaystyle P(E)P(F)=\frac{1}{4}\times\frac{1}{13}=\frac{1}{52}
Thus,
\displaystyle P(E\cap F)=P(E)P(F)
Therefore, E and F are independent.
(ii) E: card is black, F: card is a king
There are 26 black cards and 4 kings in a deck of 52 cards. Therefore,
\displaystyle P(E)=\frac{26}{52}=\frac{1}{2},\quad P(F)=\frac{4}{52}=\frac{1}{13}
There are 2 black kings. Hence,
\displaystyle P(E\cap F)=\frac{2}{52}=\frac{1}{26}
Also,
\displaystyle P(E)P(F)=\frac{1}{2}\times\frac{1}{13}=\frac{1}{26}
Thus,
\displaystyle P(E\cap F)=P(E)P(F)
Therefore, E and F are independent.
(iii) E: card is a king or queen, F: card is a queen or jack
There are 4 kings and 4 queens. Therefore,
\displaystyle P(E)=\frac{8}{52}=\frac{2}{13}
Similarly, there are 4 queens and 4 jacks. Hence,
\displaystyle P(F)=\frac{8}{52}=\frac{2}{13}
The common cards in E and F are the 4 queens. Therefore,
\displaystyle P(E\cap F)=\frac{4}{52}=\frac{1}{13}
But
\displaystyle P(E)P(F)=\frac{2}{13}\times\frac{2}{13}=\frac{4}{169}
Clearly,
\displaystyle P(E\cap F)\neq P(E)P(F)
Therefore, E and F are not independent.
Hence, the events are independent in cases (i) and (ii).
Maths Better Tip! Remember, the probability of any event always lies between 0 and 1. An impossible event has probability 0, while a certain event has probability 1. Therefore, a probability can never be negative or greater than 1.
Question 16: Probability 13.2
16. In a girls’ hostel, 60% of the students read Hindi newspaper, 40% read English newspaper and 20% read both Hindi and English newspapers. A student is selected at random.
(a) Find the probability that she reads neither Hindi nor English newspapers.
(b) If she reads Hindi newspaper, find the probability that she reads English newspaper.
(c) If she reads English newspaper, find the probability that she reads Hindi newspaper.
Solution:
Think First… Let H and E represent the events that the student reads Hindi and English newspapers, respectively. For part (a), “neither” means the complement of \displaystyle H\cup E. Parts (b) and (c) require conditional probability.
Let H be the event that the student reads Hindi newspaper and E be the event that the student reads English newspaper.
We are given
\displaystyle P(H)=0.6,\; P(E)=0.4,\; P(H\cap E)=0.2
(a) Probability that she reads neither Hindi nor English newspapers
First, using the addition theorem,
\displaystyle P(H\cup E)=P(H)+P(E)-P(H\cap E)
Substituting the given values,
\displaystyle P(H\cup E)=0.6+0.4-0.2=0.8
Therefore, the probability that she reads neither Hindi nor English newspapers is
\displaystyle P(\text{neither H nor E})=1-P(H\cup E)
\displaystyle =1-0.8=0.2=\frac{1}{5}
Therefore,
\displaystyle \boxed{P(\text{neither H nor E})=0.2}
(b) Probability that she reads English newspaper, given that she reads Hindi newspaper
We need to find \displaystyle P(E\mid H).
Using the formula of conditional probability,
\displaystyle P(E\mid H)=\frac{P(E\cap H)}{P(H)}
Substituting the given values,
\displaystyle P(E\mid H)=\frac{0.2}{0.6}=\frac{1}{3}
Therefore,
\displaystyle \boxed{P(E\mid H)=\frac{1}{3}}
(c) Probability that she reads Hindi newspaper, given that she reads English newspaper
We need to find \displaystyle P(H\mid E).
Using the formula of conditional probability,
\displaystyle P(H\mid E)=\frac{P(H\cap E)}{P(E)}
Substituting the given values,
\displaystyle P(H\mid E)=\frac{0.2}{0.4}=\frac{1}{2}
Therefore,
\displaystyle \boxed{P(H\mid E)=\frac{1}{2}}
Question 17: Probability 13.2 – MCQ
17. The probability of obtaining an even prime number on each die, when a pair of dice is rolled is
- (A) \displaystyle 0
- (B) \displaystyle \frac{1}{3}
- (C) \displaystyle \frac{1}{12}
- (D) \displaystyle \frac{1}{36}
Solution
Think First… There is only one even prime number, namely \displaystyle 2. So, we need the probability of getting \displaystyle 2 on both dice.
The only even prime number is \displaystyle 2.
For one die,
\displaystyle P(\text{even prime number})=P(2)=\frac{1}{6}
Since the two dice are independent, the required probability is
\displaystyle P(2\text{ on first die and }2\text{ on second die})
\displaystyle =\frac{1}{6}\times\frac{1}{6}=\frac{1}{36}
Hence, the correct answer is (D).
Question 18: Probability 13.2 – MCQ
18. Two events A and B will be independent, if
- (A) A and B are mutually exclusive
- (B) \displaystyle P(A'B')=[1-P(A)][1-P(B)]
- (C) \displaystyle P(A)=P(B)
- (D) \displaystyle P(A)+P(B)=1
Solution
Think First… For independent events, the occurrence of one event does not affect the probability of the other. Independence can also be expressed using the complementary events.
For two independent events A and B, we have
\displaystyle P(A\cap B)=P(A)P(B)
If A and B are independent, their complementary events A’ and B’ are also independent. Therefore,
\displaystyle P(A'\cap B')=P(A')P(B')
Using \displaystyle P(A')=1-P(A) and \displaystyle P(B')=1-P(B), we get
\displaystyle P(A'B')=[1-P(A)][1-P(B)]
Thus, option (B) is the correct condition.
Hence, the correct answer is (B).
Common Mistakes to Avoid
- Confusing independent and mutually exclusive events: Independent events do not affect each other’s probabilities, whereas mutually exclusive events cannot occur together. For independent events, \displaystyle P(E\cap F)=P(E)P(F), while for mutually exclusive events, \displaystyle P(E\cap F)=0.
- Using independence without checking it: Do not use \displaystyle P(E\cap F)=P(E)P(F) unless the events are given to be independent or independence has been established.
- Confusing the multiplication theorem with independence: For any two events, \displaystyle P(E\cap F)=P(E)P(F\mid E). The simpler form \displaystyle P(E\cap F)=P(E)P(F) is valid only when E and F are independent.
- Forgetting the effect of replacement: In repeated draws, check whether the object is replaced. With replacement, the probabilities usually remain unchanged and the draws can be independent. Without replacement, the probability of the second draw may change.
- Forgetting the complement: In questions involving “at least one”, “neither” or “none”, the complement is often easier to calculate. For example, \displaystyle P(\text{at least one})=1-P(\text{none}).
- Finding “exactly one” incorrectly: If A and B are independent, exactly one of them occurs in two mutually exclusive ways: \displaystyle A\cap B' or \displaystyle A'\cap B. Therefore, \displaystyle P(\text{exactly one})=P(A)P(B')+P(A')P(B).
- Ignoring complementary independence: If A and B are independent, then A’ and B, A and B’, and A’ and B’ are also independent. Thus, \displaystyle P(A'\cap B')=P(A')P(B').
- Checking only one condition for three events: For three events A, B and C to be mutually independent, all three pairwise conditions and the three-event condition must hold: \displaystyle P(A\cap B)=P(A)P(B),\;P(A\cap C)=P(A)P(C),\;P(B\cap C)=P(B)P(C) and \displaystyle P(A\cap B\cap C)=P(A)P(B)P(C).
- Using the addition theorem incorrectly: For any two events, \displaystyle P(A\cup B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cap B). Do not simply add \displaystyle P(A) and \displaystyle P(B) unless the events are mutually exclusive.
- Canceling a common factor without checking whether it is zero: While proving independence using conditional probabilities, do not cancel \displaystyle P(A\cap B) unless it is known to be non-zero. This is especially important in conceptual questions and MCQs.
- Assuming equal probabilities mean independence: The condition \displaystyle P(A)=P(B) does not imply that A and B are independent. Independence is checked using \displaystyle P(A\cap B)=P(A)P(B).
Continue Learning
With the completion of Probability 13.2, you have now covered the important ideas of Independent Events and the Multiplication Theorem of Probability. In this exercise, you learned how to identify independent events, use the multiplication rule for independent events, work with complementary events, and apply these concepts to multi-step experiments.
Before moving on to the next Exercise 13.3 of this chapter, make sure you are comfortable with the following concepts, as they will be used frequently in the questions that follow:
- Understanding the meaning of independent events and recognising when the occurrence of one event does not affect the probability of another.
- Using the multiplication rule for independent events: \displaystyle P(E\cap F)=P(E)P(F).
- Using the general multiplication theorem: \displaystyle P(E\cap F)=P(E)P(F\mid E).
- Distinguishing between independent and mutually exclusive events.
- Using complementary events effectively, especially in questions involving “at least one”, “neither” and “none”.
- Understanding that if two events are independent, their complementary events are also independent.
- Applying independence to repeated experiments such as tossing coins, throwing dice and drawing objects with replacement.
- Checking whether events are independent by comparing \displaystyle P(E\cap F) with \displaystyle P(E)P(F).
- For three events, understanding the conditions required for mutual independence, including pairwise and three-event intersections.
These ideas form the foundation for the next parts of the chapter, where we will build on the concepts of conditional probability, independence and the multiplication theorem to solve more advanced probability problems.
Explore More
A strong understanding of Independent Events and the Multiplication Theorem of Probability forms the foundation for solving many probability problems. While solving questions, first identify the events involved and check whether they are independent. If they are independent, use \displaystyle P(E\cap F)=P(E)P(F). Otherwise, use the general multiplication theorem with conditional probability.
While solving questions, carefully analyse the given information, especially in multi-step experiments involving coins, dice, cards and drawing objects with or without replacement. Pay particular attention to phrases such as “at least one”, “neither” and “exactly one”, and use complementary events whenever they simplify the calculation. Also remember that independent events and mutually exclusive events are different concepts. With regular practice, you will be able to recognise independence situations quickly and apply the appropriate probability rule accurately and confidently as you move through the remaining concepts of Probability.
All the best and keep learning 👍



